Anticipating a Nuclear Iran - Jacquelyn K. Davis; Robert L. Pfaltzgraff

Anticipating a Nuclear Iran
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Autor: Jacquelyn K. Davis; Robert L. Pfaltzgraff

 Wydawnictwo: Columbia University Press
ISBN: 9780231166225
EAN:
Format: ...
Oprawa: twarda
Stron: 240
Data wydania: 2014-02-01
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This volume is based on the assumption that Iran will soon obtain nuclear weapons, and Jacquelyn K. Davis and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff Jr. develop alternative models for assessing the challenges of a nuclear Iran for U.S. security. Through three scenario models, the book explores the political, strategic, and operational challenges facing the United States in a post--Cold War world. The authors concentrate on the type of nuclear capability Iran might develop; the conditions under which Iran might resort to threatened or actual weapons use; the extent to which Iran's military strategy and declaratory policy might embolden Iran and its proxies to pursue more aggressive policies in the region and vis-a-vis the United States; and Iran's ability to transfer nuclear materials to others within and outside the region, possibly sparking a nuclear cascade. Drawing on recent post--Cold War deterrence theory, the authors consider Iran's nuclear ambitions as they relate to its foreign policy objectives, domestic politics, and role in the Islamic world, and they suggest specific approaches to improve U.S. defense and deterrence planning. Davis and Pfaltzgraff have chosen to tackle a subject few others have: that Iran might actually succeed in its quest to get 'the bomb' and how it might behave as a result. Their assessment will prove invaluable to U.S. policy makers, who are forced, by necessity, to think about the 'day after' Iran goes nuclear and what that might mean for U.S. policy. -- Ilan Berman, vice president, American Foreign Policy Council Anticipating a Nuclear Iran is a both spare and comprehensive guide concerning perhaps the most vexing security challenge of our time. It is a must-read for the defense and diplomatic communities. -- Robert D. Kaplan, chief geopolitical analyst for Stratfor and author of The Revenge of Geography: What the Map Tells Us About Coming Conflicts and the Battle Against Fate This objective and dispassionate assessment of what a nuclear Iran might mean for U.S. security is must reading for the policy maker, the policy analyst, and the broader public policy community. The authors break new ground in their multifaceted discussion of Iran's nuclear program and its implications for deterrence dynamics in the complex twenty-first-century world. A brilliant work of policy scholarship. -- James Stavridis, U.S. Navy (Ret.), and dean, the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University The originality of Jacquelyn K. Davis and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff Jr.'s book lies in its creative synthesis of historical, logical, and technology and force-structure trends into a coherent assessment of what a nuclear Iran means for the region and the world. They explain U.S. policy implications of an Iran with atomic weapons in a clear, insightful way. -- Paul Bracken, Yale University, and author of The Second Nuclear Age: Strategy, Danger, and the New Power Politics

Książka "Anticipating a Nuclear Iran"
Jacquelyn K. Davis; Robert L. Pfaltzgraff